Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.676162 0.800011 0.934510 1.090737 1.266503 1.457433 1.679793
2025-04-13 0.462716 0.628456 0.827231 1.079738 1.388304 1.749406 2.199977
2025-04-20 0.327349 0.508026 0.745827 1.072952 1.501770 2.034979 2.737319
2025-04-27 0.239815 0.423042 0.686007 1.074285 1.614698 2.321125 3.292848
2025-05-04 0.176752 0.353944 0.630285 1.065767 1.704976 2.577331 3.821824
2025-05-11 0.128112 0.292431 0.570919 1.038110 1.758602 2.780986 4.287374
2025-05-18 0.098439 0.254201 0.539011 1.043815 1.855831 3.046153 4.846941
2025-05-25 0.071899 0.212782 0.492191 1.016312 1.895814 3.226872 5.292642
2025-06-01 0.056390 0.189005 0.471591 1.027944 1.994941 3.497013 5.876530
2025-06-08 0.042792 0.164275 0.443505 1.021078 2.060773 3.717501 6.394649
2025-06-15 0.036590 0.156301 0.447823 1.073300 2.228251 4.102540 7.174118
2025-06-22 0.030111 0.144785 0.441949 1.104488 2.360389 4.436729 7.888010
2025-06-29 0.021883 0.123924 0.411198 1.084293 2.403331 4.635276 8.410827
2025-07-06 0.017082 0.112133 0.399657 1.102030 2.516600 4.955684 9.140113
2025-07-13 0.012889 0.099785 0.383669 1.107911 2.607815 5.243573 9.829411
2025-07-20 0.009679 0.089077 0.369274 1.114953 2.700970 5.538360 10.540282
2025-07-27 0.006945 0.077925 0.350400 1.108681 2.766760 5.787983 11.185574
2025-08-03 0.004596 0.065746 0.324435 1.081241 2.787024 5.957408 11.703083
2025-08-10 0.003312 0.058747 0.313034 1.087606 2.875878 6.251564 12.437613
2025-08-17 0.002069 0.049303 0.289650 1.059416 2.889398 6.409007 12.944953
2025-08-24 0.001467 0.044577 0.282057 1.071520 2.988868 6.726597 13.733871
2025-08-31 0.000938 0.038857 0.268293 1.064471 3.045519 6.966323 14.395079
2025-09-07 0.000775 0.038162 0.275732 1.118414 3.240930 7.473644 15.535750